Scanner verdict

Race #13447

#18813 wins in 133.219s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks and 2 in form, top ELO 1862.
  • #18813 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.77s, 3rd +4.34s, 4th +7.18s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #18813 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 5 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#18813shark
33/60 raw · elo 1862 · 133.219s
85.0% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
17/45 raw · elo 1683 · +0.77s
2.1% predicted
our 4th pick
3rd
#4344shark
25/60 raw · elo 1777 · +4.34s
8.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
#11479in form
9/17 raw · elo 1711 · +7.18s
2.2% predicted
our 3rd pick
5th
#27116in form
15/49 raw · elo 1764 · +14.78s
2.1% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#1881385.0%
#43448.6%
#114792.2%
#265502.1%
#271162.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/13447.