Scanner verdict

Race #11844

#12500 wins in 126.965s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1859.
  • #12500 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +18.05s, 3rd +20.73s, 4th +21.58s.
  • Upset: our favorite #8086 finished 3rd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#12500shark
24/60 raw · elo 1697 · 126.965s
12.7% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
6/50 raw · elo 1546 · +18.05s
0.1% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#8086shark
28/60 raw · elo 1859 · +20.73s
87.1% predicted
our 1st pick
4th
3/60 raw · elo 1488 · +21.58s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick
5th
2/40 raw · elo 1455 · +21.63s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
0/60 raw · elo 1274 · +21.82s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
1/49 raw · elo 1401 · +27.45s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
8th
0/49 raw · elo 1320 · +30.87s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#808687.1%
#1250012.7%
#1020.1%
#76740.0%
#239830.0%
#380.0%
#5200.0%
#50630.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/11844.