Scanner verdict

Race #11840

#12500 wins in 100.659s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1859.
  • #12500 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +8.68s, 3rd +13.88s, 4th +14.08s.
  • Upset: our favorite #8086 finished 4th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

2400m Route · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#12500shark
24/60 raw · elo 1697 · 100.659s
12.2% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
20/60 raw · elo 1651 · +8.68s
4.3% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
9/60 raw · elo 1576 · +13.88s
0.2% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
#8086shark
28/60 raw · elo 1859 · +14.08s
83.0% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
3/60 raw · elo 1534 · +14.46s
0.0% predicted
our 7th pick
6th
5/60 raw · elo 1572 · +19.53s
0.1% predicted
our 6th pick
7th
0/51 raw · elo 1553 · +20.58s
0.0% predicted
our 8th pick
8th
6/60 raw · elo 1596 · +26.75s
0.2% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#808683.0%
#1250012.2%
#10584.3%
#109990.2%
#82660.2%
#64040.1%
#148970.0%
#110090.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/11840.