Scanner verdict

Race #11757

#2386 wins in 30.877s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark, top ELO 1753.
  • #2386 took it a 30% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +0.65s, 3rd +1.20s, 4th +4.90s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Upset: our favorite #24748 finished 2nd, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

700m · 4 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
16/54 raw · elo 1610 · 30.877s
5.6% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#24748shark
22/47 raw · elo 1753 · +0.65s
93.6% predicted
our 1st pick
3rd
4/35 raw · elo 1602 · +1.20s
0.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
4th
1/43 raw · elo 1301 · +4.90s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2474893.6%
#23865.6%
#230450.8%
#232470.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/11757.