Scanner verdict

Race #11504

#22445 wins in 39.617s.

  • Sharp field: 1 shark and 1 in form, top ELO 1880.
  • #22445 took it as the field's shark.
  • Margins: 2nd +6.07s, 3rd +7.43s, 4th +11.39s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #22445 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

1000m · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#22445shark
34/45 raw · elo 1880 · 39.617s
99.5% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
#27116in form
15/49 raw · elo 1764 · +6.07s
0.4% predicted
our 2nd pick
3rd
15/60 raw · elo 1533 · +7.43s
0.0% predicted
our 4th pick
4th
5/18 raw · elo 1591 · +11.39s
0.1% predicted
our 3rd pick
5th
0/47 raw · elo 1117 · +15.39s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick
6th
0/17 raw · elo 1295 · +16.52s
0.0% predicted
our 5th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2244599.5%
#271160.4%
#199600.1%
#148360.0%
#1000.0%
#176790.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/11504.