Scanner verdict

Race #11088

#1591 wins in 34.394s.

  • Live field: 1 in form, top ELO 1712.
  • #1591 took it a 34% career winner.
  • Margins: 2nd +1.64s, 3rd +1.91s, 4th +3.92s.
  • Upset: our favorite #8070 finished 4th, the winner was our 2nd pick.

Model track record on the calibration page.

800m · 8 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
14/41 raw · elo 1544 · 34.394s
22.3% predicted
our 2nd pick
2nd
#26926in form
7/46 raw · elo 1712 · +1.64s
12.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
5/40 raw · elo 1538 · +1.91s
2.5% predicted
our 5th pick
4th
15/41 raw · elo 1635 · +3.92s
57.5% predicted
our 1st pick
5th
7/41 raw · elo 1555 · +4.12s
4.5% predicted
our 4th pick
6th
1/40 raw · elo 1195 · +4.95s
0.1% predicted
our 8th pick
7th
1/40 raw · elo 1314 · +6.63s
0.2% predicted
our 6th pick
8th
1/40 raw · elo 1236 · +9.21s
0.1% predicted
our 7th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#807057.5%
#159122.3%
#2692612.8%
#15904.5%
#269082.5%
#180370.2%
#180360.1%
#15950.1%

Served by /api/v1/race/11088.