Scanner verdict

Race #10225

#22788 wins in 131.268s.

  • Sharp field: 2 sharks, top ELO 1704.
  • #22788 took it with the distance on its side.
  • Margins: 2nd +7.64s, 3rd +8.37s, 4th +15.41s.
  • Payout trap: the board flagged a thin payout split.
  • Model called it: our favorite #22788 went off on top and delivered.

Model track record on the calibration page.

3000m Marathon · 6 ran

Final result

Each horse shows what our model predicted before the gate.

1st
#22788shark
20/38 raw · elo 1704 · 131.268s
64.3% predicted
our 1st pick
2nd
13/45 raw · elo 1625 · +7.64s
4.8% predicted
our 3rd pick
3rd
#3231shark
25/60 raw · elo 1644 · +8.37s
25.9% predicted
our 2nd pick
4th
10/50 raw · elo 1671 · +15.41s
2.7% predicted
our 4th pick
5th
12/59 raw · elo 1672 · +16.69s
2.3% predicted
our 5th pick
6th
0/58 raw · elo 1108 · +25.13s
0.0% predicted
our 6th pick

Model odds-v1

Win probability

Uncalibrated estimates until the backtest publishes.

#2278864.3%
#323125.9%
#13104.8%
#254642.7%
#19002.3%
#203870.0%

Served by /api/v1/race/10225.